Getting Half the Juice - from Boris Schlossberg and Kathy Lien of GFT Forex

The longer you trade the markets the more you realize that the only absolute in the game exists on the downside. What I mean, is that the only factor that we can control with any degree of consistency is our losses. Most people of course believe they can control profits and that is perhaps the most naive belief of all. I'll never forget one time sharing a cab downtown with well known colleague who opined in no uncertain terms that he never takes trades with less than 3 to 1 risk reward ratio. I remember feeling uncomfortable at the time with his utter conviction that this was the only way to trade and only much later realized that this man must have never put his own money on the line because his premise was laughably unrealistic.

In real trading there is no such thing as 2 to 1 trades or 3 to 1 trades because you never know ahead of time how much money the market will give you. It is an utter act of hubris to think that just because you want to make 100 points of reward for every 30 points of risk you will actually achieve it. The 2 to 1 or 3 to 1 risk/reward trades are what they teach you trading books, and of course as so often the case what looks great in theory is actually remarkably dumb in practice. As the greatest philosopher since Plato once noted "In theory there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice there is."

Last week I spoke about the need to set minimum targets and stick to them. However when it comes to maximum gains - the game is always open ended. Sometimes you hit a home run, sometimes a double and sometimes you just have to satisfied with a dribbling bunt. (For all our non North American readers I apologize for the profusion of baseball metaphors) but I think everyone gets the general idea - YOU CANNOT CONTROL YOUR PROFITS, YOU CAN ONLY CONTROL YOUR POSITIONS.

Sometimes when you squeeze a lemon you only get half the juice, and trading can be very much the same way. In practice, most traders scale out of their trades, taking some profit as it comes. In fact when you read our Millionaire Traders book the one unifying theme amongst most of our interview subjects be they trend followers or trend faders, long term or short term traders was that they always scaled out of their winners. Certainty and arrogance is for amateurs. Professionals play the probabilities and always remain flexible and open to the markets.